A recurring issue I have faced in my research is data scarcity. In the context of survey experiments, this is due to the financial constraints involved with fielding experiments sufficiently powered to detect effects reliably and the limited number of questions each participant can answer before the quality of answers starts declining. For large-N analyses, an important challenge in my research is that my variables of interest—including the onset of military conflict, international order membership, and threats—result from complex strategic interdependence which produces selection biases in the available data. These strategic processes compound the difficulties of quantitative analysis due to the scant temporal and geographic data available and the fact that many significant events are rare events.

This line of research seeks to alleviate this problem by introducing new experimental and statistical tools to political science.